2023 Draft Eve: Keeper Rankings

The Premise

The 2023 draft is here. The one thing everyone is wondering: who has the best keepers?

Good news, I have the definitive, process driven answer. We can use the average ADP of each owner’s two keeper players as a measure of their overall strength.

Why ADP?

Well, it’s simple – we want to see who amongst us has the best start to their rosters, right? What better way than to use the public’s rankings of said players as our barometer.

What data source?

I am using Underdog Fantasy‘s 2023 ADP to arrive at these conclusions. Why?

Underdog runs the largest Best Ball fantasy contest on planet Earth – with over 600,000 entrants vying to claim the $3,000,000 top prize, I’d wager its the sharpest ADP source on planet Earth, as well.

What’s a good ADP average?

We keep 28 players (14×2). If the average ADP of your keepers isn’t inside the first two rounds of ADP (higher than 28), then it’s probably bad.

With that said, on to the rankings!

Best of the Best

1.) Finley – Tyreek Hill & Cooper Kupp, Average ADP 4.85
Both consensus top five picks since fantasy drafts opened in May, Finley begins the season with the most dynamic duo (when healthy) at WR. Alas, Kupp is already dealing with his second hamstring strain – we shall see how this pans out.

2.) Fahey – Travis Kelce & Saquon Barkley, Average ADP 10.65

Are you surprised Travis Kelce is a top 5 pick in redraft leagues this season? You shouldn’t be. Kelce outscored every other TE on planet Earth by 5+ FPPG in 2022. With a potpourri of uncertainty at WR, Patty Ice will lean on him once again in 2023.

3.) Holter – A.J. Brown & CeeDee Lamb, Average ADP 11.65
DAL’s Lamb and PHI’s Brown have slid in recent drafts, but have comfortably been in the low first, high second round ADP range this summer.

The WOAT

14.) Bizzy – Josh Jacobs & James Conner

Josh Jacobs is a consensus 2nd round pick; now that he’s back in the fold in Vegas with his Brinks truckload of cash in tow, I won’t quibble with this selection.

James Conner is a 7th round pick in fantasy football this year. Now – I think he’s a good pick in that range (80.4 ADP); the reality is in a format like this, you can toss that player back, and draft him again ahead of ADP if you really love him. A missed opportunity here, for sure.

13.) Lavoie – Najee Harris & Aaron Jones

Najee Harris (42.2 ADP) is expected to see increased competition from Jaylen Warren this season. In fact, Warren mixed in during drives a lot more than expected with the Steelers’ starters in preseason. Jones (48.9 ADP) is in a 1A/1B usage battle with AJ Dillon. There were probably better options available, here, as well.

Wrap up & Full List

It’s just math, and the math is clear – the fantasy football world has deemed this is the way it is for keeper power rankings. If you’re atop the ADP leaderboard here after your first two picks, congratulations! Don’t f*ck it up in the draft tomorrow?

And if you’re not? There’s a long way to go before we crown a 2023 champion. Happy football season, cheers!

RkOwnerKeeper Average ADP
1Finley (Kupp & Hill)4.85
2Fahey (Kelce & Barkley)10.65
3Holter (AJ Brown & Lamb)11.65
4Burke (Jefferson & D. Smith)12
5Rooney (Diggs & Pollard)12.6
6Adams (ARSB & Wilson)13.65
7Long (Chubb & Mahomes)16.15
8Seth (Adams & Hurts)19.85
9Gerrish (Ekeler & Samuel)21.1
10Sylvia (CMC & Mixon)21.25
11Northrup (Henry & J. Allen)23.7
12Caliri (Chase & Burrow)25.25
13Lavoie (Harris & Jones)45.55
14Bizzy (Jacobs & Conner)53.4

Leave a comment